Water Ravishing MillTier 1
at 貓腳印高雄店 台灣南部地區 R 賽
decks
4
(5.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
26
17-8-1
overall winrate
67.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
61.0%
avg ELO +4.1 per match
expected value
55.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1361
· median 1360
· range 1192–1533
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
835
Q1 1177
Q3 1387
1694
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 26.2% | 5 | 3-2-0 | 60.0% | 55.6% | 57.1% | +4.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 15.0% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 61.8% | +7.6 |
| Wind Allies | 10.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.0% | -1.0 |
| Fire Arcane | 6.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 61.6% | +11.1 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 6.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.7% | -1.3 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.9% | -12.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.4% | +7.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.7% | +7.4 |
| Water Allies | 3.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.1% | -12.6 |
| Fire Slimes | 2.5% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 56.4% | +6.1 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 2.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.5% | +10.4 |
| Fire Erupting | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Beast | 1.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.6% | -15.1 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.3% | +11.6 |
| Wind Overlord | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 1.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.1% | +14.6 |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 1.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.2% | +14.7 |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Water Ravishing Mill decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
